Iran Prediction Markets
Track prediction market odds for Iran-related events including sanctions, the Strait of Hormuz, ceasefire negotiations, and Tehran policy decisions. Real-time prices from Polymarket and Kalshi.
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
polymarket · General
Vol $173.5M
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
polymarket · General
Vol $32.5M
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
polymarket · General
Vol $31.3M
Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?
polymarket · Middle East
Vol $28.7M
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
polymarket · General
Vol $22.0M
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
polymarket · General
Vol $15.4M
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
polymarket · General
Vol $15.1M
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
polymarket · General
Vol $14.4M
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
polymarket · General
Vol $14.4M
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
polymarket · General
Vol $14.1M
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
polymarket · General
Vol $14.1M
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
polymarket · General
Vol $11.1M
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by April 30?
polymarket · geopolitics
Vol $10.8M
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
polymarket · General
Vol $9.1M
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
polymarket · General
Vol $8.1M
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
polymarket · General
Vol $7.1M
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
polymarket · General
Vol $7.0M
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
polymarket · Iran
Vol $7.0M
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?
polymarket · Iran
Vol $6.5M
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
polymarket · General
Vol $6.1M
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
polymarket · General
Vol $5.4M
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
polymarket · General
Vol $3.9M
Will Trump post "Make Iran Great Again" or "MIGA" on Truth Social this week?
polymarket · Trump
Vol $3.7M
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
polymarket · General
Vol $3.4M
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
polymarket · General
Vol $3.3M
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
polymarket · General
Vol $3.2M
Will Iran strike UAE again in March?
polymarket · General
Vol $3.2M
Iran leadership change by April 30?
polymarket · General
Vol $3.1M
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
polymarket · General
Vol $2.9M
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?
polymarket · General
Vol $2.8M
Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?
polymarket · strike
Vol $2.2M
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?
polymarket · U.S. x Iran
Vol $2.1M
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
polymarket · General
Vol $2.0M
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
polymarket · Iran
Vol $1.9M
Military action against Iran ends on April 29, 2026?
polymarket · strike
Vol $1.9M
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?
polymarket · strike
Vol $1.9M
Iran leadership change by December 31?
polymarket · General
Vol $1.7M
Military action against Iran ends on April 24, 2026?
polymarket · strike
Vol $1.7M
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
polymarket · General
Vol $1.5M
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
polymarket · Iran Regime
Vol $1.5M
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?
polymarket · General
Vol $1.5M
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?
polymarket · General
Vol $1.5M
Military action against Iran ends on April 10, 2026?
polymarket · strike
Vol $1.4M
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
polymarket · Iran
Vol $1.4M
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?
polymarket · Politics
Vol $1.4M
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?
polymarket · General
Vol $1.4M
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
polymarket · Iran Ceasefire
Vol $1.4M
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
polymarket · General
Vol $1.3M
Who will be the next the head of state or government of Iran?
kalshi · Companies
Vol $1.3M
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?
polymarket · Middle East
Vol $1.2M
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
polymarket · General
Vol $1.2M
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?
polymarket · General
Vol $1.1M
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
polymarket · General
Vol $1.1M
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
polymarket · Trump
Vol $1.1M
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
polymarket · General
Vol $1.1M
Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair?
polymarket · General
Vol $1.0M
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
polymarket · General
Vol $1.0M
Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran before Jan 1, 2027?
kalshi · Politics
Vol $996K
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?
polymarket · General
Vol $962K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
polymarket · transit
Vol $939K
Military action against Iran ends on April 12, 2026?
polymarket · strike
Vol $925K
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?
polymarket · politics
Vol $914K
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
polymarket · General
Vol $912K
Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026?
kalshi · Politics
Vol $832K
Military action against Iran ends on April 30, 2026?
polymarket · strike
Vol $789K
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
polymarket · General
Vol $780K
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?
polymarket · Politics
Vol $779K
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
polymarket · Foreign Policy
Vol $778K
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?
polymarket · General
Vol $770K
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
polymarket · General
Vol $741K
Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
polymarket · General
Vol $732K
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
polymarket · Enrich
Vol $731K
Military action against Iran ends on April 13, 2026?
polymarket · strike
Vol $689K
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?
polymarket · Iran Ceasefire
Vol $685K
Will the US x Iran ceasefire be extended by April 21, 2026?
polymarket · Geopolitics
Vol $671K
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
polymarket · Geopolitics
Vol $649K
Military action against Iran ends on April 15, 2026?
polymarket · strike
Vol $645K
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
polymarket · General
Vol $644K
Military action against Iran ends on April 14, 2026?
polymarket · strike
Vol $602K
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?
polymarket · Israel x Iran
Vol $593K
Military action against Iran ends on April 26, 2026?
polymarket · strike
Vol $593K
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?
polymarket · Iran Ceasefire
Vol $546K
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
polymarket · General
Vol $546K
Will the US agree to a new Iranian nuclear deal this year?
kalshi · Politics
Vol $543K
Military action against Iran ends on April 16, 2026?
polymarket · strike
Vol $542K
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?
polymarket · Middle East
Vol $542K
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
polymarket · General
Vol $534K
Iran Nuke before 2027?
polymarket · General
Vol $528K
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?
polymarket · General
Vol $527K
Will the US agree to a new Iranian nuclear deal before August?
kalshi · Politics
Vol $523K
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
polymarket · General
Vol $519K
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?
polymarket · General
Vol $513K
Military action against Iran ends on April 27, 2026?
polymarket · strike
Vol $497K
Military action against Iran ends on April 17, 2026?
polymarket · strike
Vol $494K
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?
polymarket · General
Vol $493K
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?
polymarket · General
Vol $468K
Iran leadership change by May 31?
polymarket · General
Vol $464K
Military action against Iran ends on April 28, 2026?
polymarket · strike
Vol $454K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
polymarket · Trump
Vol $452K
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
polymarket · Trump
Vol $451K
Iran leadership change by June 30?
polymarket · General
Vol $444K
Military action against Iran ends on April 19, 2026?
polymarket · strike
Vol $439K
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?
polymarket · General
Vol $426K
Military action against Iran ends on April 22, 2026?
polymarket · strike
Vol $415K
Military action against Iran ends on April 23, 2026?
polymarket · strike
Vol $408K
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?
polymarket · General
Vol $407K
Military action against Iran ends on April 20, 2026?
polymarket · strike
Vol $405K
Military action against Iran ends on April 25, 2026?
polymarket · strike
Vol $401K
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
polymarket · General
Vol $395K
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
polymarket · Politics
Vol $388K
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
polymarket · General
Vol $384K
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?
polymarket · General
Vol $370K
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
polymarket · General
Vol $332K
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
polymarket · Politics
Vol $331K
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
polymarket · General
Vol $328K
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
polymarket · General
Vol $326K
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?
polymarket · Strait of Hormuz
Vol $326K
Military action against Iran ends by April 15, 2026?
polymarket · General
Vol $320K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
polymarket · Iran
Vol $318K
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
polymarket · Politics
Vol $305K
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?
polymarket · Israel x Iran
Vol $305K
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?
polymarket · General
Vol $296K
Will there be between 30 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?
polymarket · General
Vol $294K
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
polymarket · General
Vol $283K
Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
polymarket · General
Vol $280K
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
polymarket · General
Vol $277K
Will Maryam Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
polymarket · General
Vol $257K
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?
polymarket · Geopolitics
Vol $257K
Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
polymarket · General
Vol $247K
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
polymarket · General
Vol $245K
Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
polymarket · General
Vol $240K
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?
polymarket · Strait of Hormuz
Vol $225K
Will there be between 40 and 50 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?
polymarket · General
Vol $223K
US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?
polymarket · Kurds
Vol $223K
Will UK strike Iran by April 30?
polymarket · General
Vol $222K
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?
polymarket · Iran Ceasefire
Vol $217K
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 3?
polymarket · General
Vol $216K
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
polymarket · Geopolitics
Vol $216K
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
polymarket · Politics
Vol $206K
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?
polymarket · General
Vol $205K
Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
polymarket · General
Vol $200K
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
polymarket · Politics
Vol $189K
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
polymarket · General
Vol $188K
Will France strike Iran by April 30?
polymarket · General
Vol $187K
Will Iran's score in the Economist Intelligence Unit's Democracy Index be at least 6 in the 2026 edition?
kalshi · Politics
Vol $183K
Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
polymarket · General
Vol $178K
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
polymarket · Economy
Vol $176K
Will n be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
polymarket · General
Vol $171K
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 16, 2026?
polymarket · Politics
Vol $167K
Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
polymarket · General
Vol $167K
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
polymarket · General
Vol $164K
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
polymarket · Geopolitics
Vol $162K
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?
polymarket · Enrich
Vol $159K
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
polymarket · General
Vol $159K
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
polymarket · General
Vol $155K
Will Hassan Shariatmadari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
polymarket · General
Vol $151K
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?
polymarket · Enrich
Vol $144K
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?
polymarket · General
Vol $144K
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 11?
polymarket · Foreign Policy
Vol $135K
Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
polymarket · General
Vol $134K
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?
polymarket · U.S. x Iran
Vol $132K
Will there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?
polymarket · General
Vol $130K
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?
polymarket · General
Vol $122K
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
polymarket · Strait of Hormuz
Vol $122K
Will Germany strike Iran by April 30?
polymarket · General
Vol $120K
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 17, 2026?
polymarket · Politics
Vol $120K
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
polymarket · General
Vol $118K
Will Kuwait strike Iran by April 30?
polymarket · General
Vol $116K
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30?
polymarket · General
Vol $115K
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
polymarket · General
Vol $111K
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
polymarket · Economy
Vol $110K
Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
polymarket · General
Vol $104K
Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
polymarket · General
Vol $98K
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?
polymarket · General
Vol $94K
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
polymarket · General
Vol $94K
Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?
polymarket · General
Vol $93K
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
polymarket · General
Vol $93K
Will Canada send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
polymarket · General
Vol $93K
Will there be between 50 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?
polymarket · General
Vol $89K
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt?
polymarket · General
Vol $84K
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?
polymarket · General
Vol $84K
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
polymarket · General
Vol $84K
Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?
polymarket · U.S. x Iran
Vol $84K
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
polymarket · Politics
Vol $81K
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia?
polymarket · General
Vol $81K
Will Iran strike Dimona by April 30?
polymarket · Iran
Vol $80K
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?
polymarket · General
Vol $77K
Will Ali Asghar Hejazi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
polymarket · General
Vol $77K
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq?
polymarket · General
Vol $76K
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Kazakhstan?
polymarket · General
Vol $75K
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
polymarket · Economy
Vol $73K
Will Turkey strike Iran by April 30?
polymarket · General
Vol $69K
Will Mostafa Pourmohammadi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
polymarket · General
Vol $69K
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?
polymarket · General
Vol $68K
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
polymarket · Economy
Vol $68K
Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?
polymarket · U.S. x Iran
Vol $66K
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?
polymarket · Politics
Vol $63K
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country?
polymarket · General
Vol $61K
Will Trump next nominate Stephen Miran as member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System?
kalshi · Politics
Vol $61K
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
polymarket · Politics
Vol $60K